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Policy & society

AI Scenarios 2030

Structured scenarios exploring future AI capabilities and their implications for policy planning.

Publisher
UK DSIT
Publication
June 2026
Length
72 pages
Language
English
£399 GBP

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UK DSIT

AI Scenarios 2030

2026 / RESEARCH

Independent research index / editorial cover

About this report

A scenario-planning report designed to help decision-makers explore different AI futures rather than select one predicted outcome. It combines research and expert judgment around critical uncertainties, then develops contrasting narratives for 2030 and explains how to use them in policy testing. The scenarios cover differences in capability, access and adoption, with supporting trajectories and updates to earlier work. Read it as a practical resource for stress-testing strategy, identifying assumptions and considering decisions that remain useful across multiple possible developments.

The PDF is in English. This introduction and content guide are available in your selected language.

Who it is for

  • Business and strategy leaders
  • Policy and governance teams
  • Investors and market researchers

Inside this report

  1. Critical uncertainties and scenario methodology
  2. Slow Burn and Open Frontier
  3. Augmented Growth and Transformation Economy
  4. The Take-Off scenario
  5. Using scenarios to test policies and assumptions
KEEP EXPLORING

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